Tuesday, October 28, 2014

Golden State Warriors

Golden State Warriors:
The days of Mark Jackson are finally over in Golden State. Jackson is more of a preacher than an NBA coach, as Golden State’s offense lacked ball movement and synergy. Jackson’s offense could be summed up in four wordS: “Steph Curry DO SOMETHING”. Curry would come off of a screen, dribble around another screen and then hoist up a three. Steve Kerr has been brought in to utilize the many threats that the Warriors offer. Klay Thompson looks primed to have a breakout year. Steph Curry might be the best jump shooter the league has ever seen and will look to continue his dominance. Curry averaged 24 points a game and shot 42% from three point range. Curry averaged 8.5 assists, cementing his place as a point guard. I personally think Curry would be perfectly suited as a shooting guard and that point guard with range would work wonders with this offense. Curry at the two, Klay at the three, Iggy at the four and Bogut is scary. Andre Igoudala is a great defender but Kerr might use him off the bench. It’s an interesting idea but it depends on who starts in his place. Draymond Green can shoot the three and defend the perimeter and Harrison Barnes fits in well with Klay and Curry. Kerr will have a tough decision as to who he starts if he indeed tries to bring Igoudala off the bench. The Warriors added Leondro Barbosa but Barbosa is well past his prime and the Warriors would be wise to give his minutes to someone younger and more deserving.
Klay Thompson has looked great in the preseason


Who says no to this trade?


Imagine how many open looks Curry and Klay would get with Rubio running the point! Igoudala alleys! The Wolves would rid themselves of Kevin Martin’s contract and get a nice piece in Harrison Barnes.
How about this trade? 


Warriors get Rubio and shooter Kevin Martin. Wolves get 2 years of Eric Gordon instead of Lee and Pelicans get Lee. Well Lee doesn’t really fit the Pelicans does he? How about another trade!
Okay who says no to this one?
Warriors get Rubio and Martin, Wolves get Gordon and Barnes, Pelicans get expiring contract and gain the ability to sign Asik to a long term deal. The Raptors get Lee and have Patrick Patterson come off the bench. Raptors might need some picks to sweeten the deal but they’re pretty much capped out with big deals to Derozan, Lowry, Vazquez and Patterson so why not use the cap on Lee who becomes an expiring in a year?

Question: What’s going on with Klay and the Warriors?
Much has been said about Klay Thompson and the Warriors hesitance at offering him a max deal. I don’t think Warriors fans have to worry about Klay leaving any time soon. I’d bet everything on the Warriors retaining him for years to come. Klay is a restricted free agent, which means that the Warriors can match any deal. History suggests that restricted free agents who sign an offer with a different team (and are matched) stay with their team. What happened when Eric Gordon signed a deal with the Suns and was convinced he was going there? The then Hornets matched and he stayed. What happened when Batum signed a deal with the Timberwolves? The Blazers matched and he has stayed there ever since. Did Deandre Jordan signing with the Warriors end his Clipper career? No, because they matched it and he's been happy ever since. Gordon Heyward is the latest example of guys signing an offer, stating that their "heart is in _____" but then their team matches and they stay there for the next 5 years. Klay is going to get the max albeit from the Warriors or from another team. Either way, he'll stay in Golden State. Why would the Warriors reject trading Klay for Kevin Love (something I think they’ll regret) if they did not see him being part of the future?


Curry's shot chart (above) is unbelievable
Klay's shot chart (above) isn't bad either

Klay shot chart is not as impressive but it’s pretty damn good. The “Splash Brothers” might be the best shooting duo the NBA has ever since. Steve Kerr is a great NBA mind and has a chance to take the Warriors to new levels. Andre Igoudala returns after a successful first season. Igoudala’s perimeter defense is key to hiding Curry and David Lee’s defensive faults. Lee has lost more than a step and is now a bad contract on a very good team. Kerr wants a stretch four (Love would’ve been perfect) to pair with Bogut and Lee is an odd pairing. Lee can rebound but offers nothing on defense and is no longer a very good offensive weapon. Harrison Barnes needs to show the promise that he flashed during his rookie year and Bogut needs to stay healthy. The Warriors signed Shaun Livingston who will look to take some pressure off of Curry. Livingston has a great post up game for a point guard and is a better defender than Steph. Livingston can play the two which will also allow Klay to get some rest. Draymond Green was one of the stars of the postseason for his hustle and clutch shots but is he really that good? Green is a great glue guy but he’ll be overpaid role player once his contract ends. Think Landry Fields.
X-Factor: Andrew Bogut
Bogut (above) will have a big impact in Kerr's offense
            Bogut will probably never live up to the high expectations that were given to him when he was drafted number one by the Bucks. Bogut is a very good center who was completely ignored in Mark Jackson’s “offense” Look for Kerr to utilize Bogut more to open up Curry and Klay for more open threes. Bogut is a very good rim protector and is one of only a few two way centers. Bogut’s real trouble has been staying on the basketball court. How will Kerr keep Bogut on the court? Mareese Speights is a power forward who can shoot midrange jumpers and Festus Ezeili is an energy guy. No, I expect Kerr to use a lot of small lineups which means putting Bogut at the five and surrounding him with forwards and guards and maybe even using Lee as the center with four smaller players. Bogut’s health (along with Steph’s) is Golden State’s biggest concern. I trust Kerr enough to make this team elite when healthy.
Best case: Kerr is as good of a coach is Jackson is bad and the Warriors cruise, Curry and Thompson enjoy career years and Bogut stays healthy
Worst case: Kerr doesn’t have the impact that I think he will. Curry and Bogut get hurt

Bold Prediction: Warriors have best offense in league.

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