Sunday, October 26, 2014

East Preview

            Remember last year when the Eastern Conference was a garbage fire? Well that’s going to change this year because the East is back and is a respectable conference. Lebron and Kevin Love have made the Cavs a power house. That has a really good rival in the Bulls and the rest of the East is competitive. Let’s rank them!
1 Seed Cleveland Cavaliers
            Well, we all know what happened in Cleveland; they added LeBron and Kevin Love to play with Kyrie Irving, and became the best team in the East instantly. But I think the most under the radar move was adding Shawn Marion for less than a million dollars. He can defend the other team’s best player and can play multiple positions. The only way that becomes a bad signing is if Marion ages really fast right in front of our eyes. Also, first year Coach David Blatt has a lot on his plate. He is considered a very smart offensive mind and he should have the Cavs firing on all cylinders.
Offseason
Added: LeBron, Love, Mike Miller and James Jones
Lost: Who cares?
Also remember the Cavs are the front runner to add Ray Allen if he doesn’t retire.
Trades
            More talent the Cavs have a big trade exception. Expect them to add anything to make them better. They could add another big or a backup guard.
Prediction
            They’ll have the best record in the East and make it to the finals.


2 Seed Chicago Bulls
            Can Derrick Rose stay healthy? Please! I was watching highlights of him the other day and I forgot how special he was to watch. If the Bulls can stay healthy which is hard to do under Thibs, they will be on a collision course to face the Cavs in the Eastern Conference Finals.
Offseason
Added: Pau Gasol, Nikola Mirotic and Doug McDermott.
Lost: Carlos Boozer (which is actually an add).
The Bulls defense will be good like always but their offense has taken a step forward with the moves they’ve made. McDermott and Mirotic will open the floor for Rose to drive and get to the basket. Mike Dunleavy will be better since he’ll be coming off the bench; a more natural role for him. But the big name they added was Pau Gasol. He gives the Bulls a big man to score down low in the paint. The Bulls can’t play small and fast like the Cavs so they’ll play big and slow. They have the roster to give Cleveland problems.
Trades
The Bulls will be looking to add a wing player come trade deadline time. If they can add another legit wing player they could beat Cleveland in seven.
Prediction
The Bulls will make it to the ECF and lose in six. Also Derrick Rose plays at least 70 games.
3 Seed Toronto Raptors
            I should probably hate this team since I am a Net fan but I refuse to do that. This team was so fun to watch last year when Rudy Gay was traded. This team became a must watch on League Pass. Last year the Raptors where the only Eastern Conference team that ranked top ten in defensive rating, offensive rating and three point shooting. The Raptors are a deep team with a top 10? Point guard in Kyle Lowery (I think you can make the argument he’s top ten) and a top ten shooting guard in DeMar DeRozan (the shooting guards in the NBA are really bad). The Raptors front court is a little concerning. Hopefully last year’s playoffs were just a bad series for Terrance Ross; because he was awful. Ross in the regular season had a 55% TS (True shooting which includes FG% 3pt% and FT% all in one) while in the postseason he had a 35% TS. If Ross can repeat last year’s regular season numbers the Raptors are in good shape. Last year Amir Johnson started for the Raptors and he’ll probably start this year; and that’s a mistake. The Raptors should start Patrick Patterson who had a 6.0 net rating last year and is a much better option for the way the Raptors play. Patterson can hit the three unlike Johnson which creates space for Lowry and DeRozan to attack the paint (which is DeRozan’s strong suit). The Raptors like to move and share the ball and that style fits better with Patterson. The Raptors also have Jonas Valanciunas who’s a good big man that didn’t play a lot for Toronto in the playoffs due to Brooklyn’s small lineups.
Offseason
            The Raptors didn’t do much this offseason. They added Lou Williams on the cheap which is a low risk, high reward signing. They also drafted Bruno Caboclo who is many years away from being NBA ready. So the Raptors are heading into this year with basically the same roster as last year.
Trades
            Masai Ujiri is one of the best GMs in the league, and with a quite offseason expect him to make a trade during the season. He has a seven million expiring in Amir Johnson and a 6.25 million expiring in Landry Fields. One of those two will be moved and I would expect to beef up their front court.
Prediction
            The Raptors will win the Atlantic and win north of 50 games. This is a young team that is very talented and they will have a great home record. That place will be loud all year.
4 Seed Washington Wizards
            This was suppose to be a big year for the Wizards, but that big year will be put on delay for a little while. Bradley Beal broke his wrist and will be out for the first month of the year. Now long term that might not be bad. Beal will have more rest when he returns and could provide a nice boost for his team. The Wizards have the same problem as last year; their bench stinks! They have no wing player that can come in a make a difference. They have Kris Humphries who will have a nice season, but it won’t be the player they need off the bench. Andre Miller, is a decent backup point guard, but that’s all he is decent at. Last year the Wizards number three pick was Otto Porter Jr., and he did nothing; he barely played last year (Why didn’t Washington send him to the d-League?).  Porter would have been better off playing 30 minutes in the D-league instead of averaging 8 minutes a game in 37 games.
Offseason
            The Wizards added two former Nets. This Kris Humphries who we talked about before and Paul Pierce… They lost Trevor Ariza and replaced him with Paul Pierce. I had a sneaky suspicion that Ariza was a much better player than Pierce after I watched a disturbing amount of Wizards games last year (They’re always on!). It turns out offensively their numbers were very similar. There are three big differences in their games though. Ariza at this stage is a much better defender than Pierce. With a front court of Pierce Gortat and Nene the Wizards will be one of the slowest teams in the league which might not hurt them against the East. However, when they play the West teams they will run them out of the building. The last reason is the corner three. Ariza shot the corner three at 45% (180 shots) last year while Pierce only attempted 22 corner threes. This is important for the Wizards because they run a lot of pick and rolls with Wall and Gortat/Nene and without someone in the corner the floor will be crowded with the lack of space. Bradley Beal was decent from the corner last year but his shot is from the wings and the top of the key. If the Wizards want to repeat success from last year they need to find that corner three shot maker.
Ariza Shot Chart







Paul Pierce Shot Chart

Prediction
            The Wizards finish fourth and win the south (that’s what that divisions is called right? It’s about time for the NBA to get rid of divisions). They should have about the same W-L record from last year. 


5 Seed Charlotte Hornets
            Okay, I wrote the Hornets and I feel really good about myself. Now, on to basketball. The Hornets were the surprise in the East last year and have got better this year. Charlotte has added Lance Stephenson who became the most hated basketball player last year during the playoffs because of his antics versus LeBron (Keep doing you Lance!).  Charlotte was 23rd when it came to offensive rating last year; the Lance will make them a lot better. But Charlotte lost a very important player in Josh McRoberts; he was a big man that spaced the floor, an exceptional passer for his size and was the leader of the Hornets second unit.
Offseason
Additions: Lance Stephenson, we went over how he will help this Hornet team but another offseason move was drafting Noah Vonleh who has the potential to be a very good NBA player. He’s a stretch four who will be a nice player to put next to Al Jefferson. Vonleh will give Big Al room to work in the post and if teams bring a double the Hornets now have a chance to make a three with Stephenson and Vonleh. They also gave Marvin Williams a two year contract worth 14 million; which is a lot but they’re Charlotte which means they have to overpay. Marvin Williams had an okay season last year but he was a role player on an awful team, so it was hard for him to succeed. Now put Marvin Williams on a good team and he could have a good year and he could have a big role on a playoff team (Remember when Marvin Williams was picked over Deron Williams and Chris Paul? LOLOLOL). The Hornets also drafted PJ Hairston who was kicked out of UNC and played last year in the D-League. Hairston can score the ball and could become a lightning rod off the bench and could make Gary Neal expandable. But the Hornets biggest offseason addition was their brand new basketball court. I’m not going to explain it, just watch a Hornet home game this year.
Lost: Josh McRoberts and his hair.
Trades
The Hornets have an interesting problem upon them. How much do they give Kemba Walker?  He’s a free agent after this year and will be looking to get paid. The two camps will disagree but I say the Hornets give Kemba 4years and 36 million; 9mil a year sounds right for Kemba. As for traded during the season, the Hornets have Gerald Henderson who has two years and 12mil left on his contract, and Gary Neal who’s an expiring contract at 3mil. I would think Charlotte tries to move one of them for better bench depth.
Prediction
            The Hornets return to the playoffs and have a better record than last year. I could see this team being a five seed or an eight seed; wouldn’t surprise me if either happened.

6 Seed Brooklyn Nets
The full Nets preview is up on the blog check it out!
7 Seed Miami Heat
            I’d say things are going to be a bit different in South Beach this year. That LeBron fella left and the Heat roster is a lot different this year. So we’re going to start with the offseason for Miami.
Offseason
            Lost: LeBron, Allen, Battier and their fans.
            Added: Deng, Josh McRoberts, Danny Granger and Shabazz Napier.
Now, the Heat did what they could after losing LeBron and are still a playoff team, but I disagree with the way they did it. I wouldn’t have singed Deng; he’s on the wrong side of 30 and has played a lot of minutes. I would have used Deng money to sign Isiah Thomas who’s one of my favorite players and is a great young talent. He would have been a good fit in Miami and could have learned a lot from Erik Spoelstra. But, they signed Deng and they should be a decent team.
The key for the Heat is D-Wade. Last year he looked finished and I don’t see any way he can bounce back. He just looks old and the problem is he isn’t good at anything anymore. He has never been able to shoot the three; if he was able to do that he could still be a serviceable player but he just looks done.
            Trades
 The Heat are in a position where they should be open to any trade. Bosh and Wade are untradeable because of their contracts, but if I am in charge of the Heat, everyone is on the table and I am listening to every offer.
Prediction
Miami will finish 7th in the East and Chris Bosh will finish top five in the MVP voting.

8 Seed Milwaukee Bucks
            Surprise! My only surprise in the rankings are the Milwaukee Bucks, Why? The answer is simple; talent and Jason Kidd (I know we are all supposes to hate Kidd but he’s a great basketball mind and the Nets will miss him Jason Kidd> Billy King). The Bucks have a sneaky good roster and they’re a deep team. Jason Kidd will have this team playing fast and a fun style of basketball. There will be a lot of passing and a lot of the Greak Freak! He should be living in the post especially if he plays the point. Last year OJ Mayo was fat and Larry Sanders was hurt. If Mayo is in shape and Sanders is healthy the Bucks have a chance at the playoffs. Also Larry Sanders is going to have a monster year. Jason Kidd wanted to trade Brook Lopez for Larry Sanders and it wasn’t because of Lopez’s feet, it was because of their style. There’s a reason why the Nets succeed with Plumlee last year over Lopez. Plumlee can get down the floor and doesn’t need the ball in the post much like Sanders. Sanders is a great defender and will be a very important player for the Bucks. My only concern for this team is Brandon Knight. I don’t know if Brandon Knight is good; I actually think Nate Wolters is better. But Knight has Jason Kidd to learn from that can only help him.
Offseason
            The Bucks didn’t do much this offseason in free agency; they only signed Jared Bayless. They of course got Kidd from the Nets. They drafted Jabari Parker who will also play an important role if this team can make the playoffs. Parker is probably the most NBA ready player from this year’s draft and should score a lot this year. They also trade for Jared Dudley who is probably the leader of this team and should have a good 3pt % this year playing in this system.
Trades
            The Bucks should listen to offers on most of their players. I don’t think they have the pieces to make a big move during the season but we shall see.
Prediction
            The Bucks will be ranked low by a lot of people but I think this team has the talent and the bottom of the East isn’t good. I think the Bucks make the playoffs as an eight seed.
Indiana Pacers
The Pacers are going to be a horrible team to watch this year. They lost Lance Stephenson, and Paul George is out for the year which means the team leading scorer will be? David West? Rodney Stuckey. Rodney Stuckey will be a leading scorer on a team that went to the conference finals last year. Although I think Paul George will play this year, but it will be too little too late. The Pacers won’t be able to score and they will lose.
Offseason
            Lost: Crazy Lance.
            Added: CJ Miles and Rodney Stuckey. Those two will help the Pacers score, but it won’t be enough. Expect the Pacers to be last in offensive rating.
Trades
            The Pacers don’t have any good trade chips unless you think they’re going to trade David West; which I don’t think will happen. Roy Hibbert’s contract is nearly untradeable which leaves the Pacers in a tough spot. Indy needs to just take this season in the chin and get ready for next.
Prediction
            The Pacers miss the playoffs, but Paul George does come back and play. Avoid the Pacers on league pass cause it’s going to be tough to watch.
Atlanta Hawks
            The Hawks are coming off an offseason they’d which to forget. Their GM, Danny Ferry was fired for being a racist, and their Owner is looking to sell the team for similar allegations. The Hawks were an 8th seed last year and pushed the 1 seed Pacers to a game seven but the Hawks fell short of NBA history. Now they start the season with a healthy Al Horford and Paul Millsap. The Hawks have been the same team for the last seven years. They finish in the bottom half of the East and get beat in the first round. Is this the year that changes or are the Hawks set up for another season stuck in the middle?


Trades
            I’m starting the Hawks with trades because they are in position to make a trade and walk away with a nice return. They have Paul Millsap making 9.5mil this year and he’s an expiring contract that is a player they should look to trade. They could keep Millsap but for what reason? To make the playoffs and lose in the first round? It would be wise to trade Millsap they could get a nice piece for their future. The Hawks could also trade Al Horford who has 2/24 left on his contract but with his injury history it might be smarter to look to deal Horford in the offseason.
Offseason
            The Hawks added Kent Bazemore and Thabo Sefolosha on the wing, but lost Lou Williams. The Hawks are basically the same team from last year.
Prediction
            For me the Hawks will make a trade and get pieces for the future which will make them miss the playoffs. But it could still be a productive year for them.

New York Knicks
Oh the precious Knicks. Phil Jackson is running the team and now their fans think they’re going to a good team out East. That is not true. The Knicks won’t be good this year; the reason why is their front court. With the exception of Carmelo Anthony the front court is Stoudemire, Bargnani (his teams have been outscored every year since he’s been in the NBA), Dalembert, Jason Smith, Cole Aldrich and Quincy Acy. YUCK! This team won’t be able to stop anyone from scoring. Not to mention that Jose Calderon, their newly acquired point guard is a horrible defender. So they won’t be able to stop point guards or other bigs from scoring. The Knicks do have a chance to sneak their way into the playoffs and that’s by playing Melo at the four and going small. When the Knicks play small they’re a great offense but for some reason Mike Woodson hated going small. Let’s see if Derek Fisher is any different.  The good thing about the Knicks is that they have a first round draft pick which might end up being a good pick.
Offseason
Kept Melo (I wrote an article of why this was a bad signing).
Added: Calderon, Samuel Dalembert, Jason Smith, Travis Outlaw (LOLOLOL), Shane Larkin and Quincy Acy.
Lost: Raymond Felton and Tyson Chandler
Trades
We’ll hear a lot about the Knicks in the Rondo sweepstakes this year and hell, they might even get him! But I’m not sold on Rondo and Melo being a good fit, but who knows for sure. The Knicks have two big expiring’s in STAT and Bargnani, but it would be smart for the Knicks to keep them and just a lot of cap room this summer. Unless of course you can make a trade to get a star then of course you pull the trigger.
Prediction
The Knicks will be bottom five in defensive rating and miss the playoffs. Also some morons in the New York media will call for Phil Jackson to be the coach of the Knicks. It sounds dumb but wait, somebody will write or say it.
Detroit Pistons
            Oh the Pistons, I picked them to make the playoffs last year and they failed me and I think they’ll have trouble again this year. The team didn’t get much better either because they lost their draft pick to the Hornets; Ben Gordon screws everyone over. The roster is just too big to succeed. Last year Josh Smith had one of the worst shooting seasons ever (he took 265 3s and shot 26% while shooting 41% from the field). But they did hire Stan Van Gundy which is great news.
Why Josh Smith? Why?
Offseason
Added: Jodie Meeks, Caron Butler, DJ Augustin and Stan Van Gundy.
Lost: Rondey Stuckey.
            It will be important for Van Gundy to figure out the line ups for the Pistons and Stan is a smart man. He’ll do what’s right which is having Monroe or Josh Smith coming off the bench. The best option would be Smith off the bench, because if the Pistons play Smith-Monroe-Drummond they will fail.
Trades
            The only guy that has a good shot to be traded on Detroit is Greg Monroe. He’s in the last year of his contract and the Pistons can’t have him. Smith and Drummond have long term deals; the only one that can be moved is Monroe. DJ Augustin is someone who could end up being traded as well, if a contending team needs point guard depth Augustin isn’t a bad option.
Prediction
            Stan Van Gundy comes close to RKOing Josh Smith. The Pistons miss playoffs and Greg Monroe gets traded.

Orlando Magic
            It just came out that Victor Oladipo will miss the early part of the season due to broken bone in his face. The Magic have a talented young roster but just aren’t ready to compete. They drafted Aaron Gordon who is a project right now but will be good in a few years, and Elfrid Payton who looks promising. (According to Bill Simmons we might as well put Payton in the hall of fame right now). But the Magic will have another losing season but it will come with players taking a step forward and it wouldn’t shock me if the Magic were contending for the last playoff spot come late in the season.
Offseason
Added: Channing Frye, Ben Gordon (WHY?!?!) and Evan Fournier.
Lost: Aaron Afflalo which I still don’t get why they traded him. All they got in return was Evan Fournier and the 56th pick in the draft. Afflalo had a great year last year and the return the Magic got seems very light. They could have kept him and then trade him at this deadline and would have received a much better deal but instead BEN GORDON!!!
Trades
            The Magic at this point have no vets to trade because they have none or the vets they do have are on long term deals. The Magic have some young players they could trade for future draft picks. It’s important for Orlando to stack up picks because who wants to play in Orlando? The only way they could get a big time player is by trading for one. But the Magic will probably do nothing this season when it comes to trades.
Prediction
            Jacque Vaughn is the first coach fired this year and the Magic hang around later then we think.
Boston Celtics
            Oh it’s going to be a bad year for the Celtics. It’s year two of the rebuilding stage and they have a long way to go. The biggest story this year in Boston will be trading Rondo. If the Celtics are committing to this rebuild they have to trade Rondo and Jeff Green. They drafted Marcus Smart their long term point guard who I think will be a very good player. Another important thing about Boston is trying not to watch them on league pass at all this year. I saw them last weekend in Brooklyn and Brad Stevens had Evan Turner and Gerald Wallace playing at the same time! If that happens during the regular season with Rondo as the point, opposing teams might as well run a zone because that might be the worst shooting tandem ever.

Offseason
 Added: Evan Turner (Remember when he was the missing link for the Pacers? HAHAHA)  and a whole bunch of other players who won’t matter.
Lost: Former Net great Kris Humphries.
Trades
            Everyone but Marcus Smart should be available. The Celtics have Bass’s and Rondo’s expiring deals and a very tradable Jeff Green contract. The Celtics will look to move Rondo and Green and if they can get two first rounders and some young players in return it’s a win for Boston.
Prediction
            Rondo gets traded and the Celtics are awful and win the lottery. Also a lot of yellow seats at the Garden.

Philadelphia 76ers
            Dumpster Fire! But one with a very bright future.

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